Soccer Games Today
Soccer guides
Plain-language guides for anyone who wants to understand the game with numbers: how to make a soccer score prediction, how Elo ratings and expected goals (xG) work, why home advantage and draws matter, and the rules and formats behind the biggest tournaments. Everything here supports the free soccer score predictor, and the method is set out on the methodology page.
Start here
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How to Predict Soccer Scores: A Step-by-Step Method
A practical method to predict soccer scores: start with base rates, adjust for strength, home advantage, form and lineups, then check your result.
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Elo Ratings in Soccer: How They Work
Elo ratings in soccer explained: the formula, how ratings change after a result, what home advantage and K-factor do, and where Elo falls short.
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What Is xG? Expected Goals Explained for Fans
What is xG in soccer? Expected goals explained: how xG is calculated, what a good number looks like and how to use it without being misled.
Soccer score predictions
2 guidesHow to predict soccer scores step by step, why draws and low scores are more common than fans expect, and how the Soccer Games Today game awards points for soccer score predictions.
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Nov 3, 2026
How to Predict Soccer Scores: A Step-by-Step Method
A practical method to predict soccer scores: start with base rates, adjust for strength, home advantage, form and lineups, then check your result.
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Nov 2, 2026
Home Advantage in Soccer: How Big Is It Really?
How big is home advantage in soccer? See typical home win rates, why playing at home helps, what happened in empty stadiums and how to use it.
Ratings, xG and models
2 guidesThe maths behind a soccer score forecast: Elo ratings, the Poisson distribution, expected goals (xG) and expected points, explained without jargon.
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Nov 5, 2026
What Is xG? Expected Goals Explained for Fans
What is xG in soccer? Expected goals explained: how xG is calculated, what a good number looks like and how to use it without being misled.
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Oct 29, 2026
Elo Ratings in Soccer: How They Work
Elo ratings in soccer explained: the formula, how ratings change after a result, what home advantage and K-factor do, and where Elo falls short.
Tournaments and formats
1 guideHow the Champions League league phase and the 48-team World Cup work, and what each format means for results.
